Hispanic Voters Hard to Profile, Poll Finds
By Lizette Alvarez
WASHINGTON, Oct. 3 - Though Hispanic voters identify more
with Democrats than they do with Republicans, they have
little party loyalty and defy easy categorization on issues
like taxes and abortion, according to a new poll by the Pew
Hispanic Center.
This ideological ambivalence, coupled with a surging
population of younger voters, makes Hispanics an attractive
voting bloc that could swing from one party to another, the
survey showed.
So far, the opportunity to capitalize on their growing
numbers has largely been squandered. While more and more
Hispanics have registered to vote, fewer have actually cast
ballots.
Hispanics have always been a hard group to characterize
politically because their opinions typically vary by
nationality, the region where they live and whether they
were born in or outside the United States.
"There is a mixture of beliefs and attitudes that are very
hard to pigeonhole," said Roberto Suro, director of the Pew
Hispanic Center, which conducted the survey along with the
Henry J. Kaiser Family Foundation. "Latinos are not
necessarily a Democratic lock."
More than half the Latino Republicans questioned said they
would rather pay higher taxes for more government services
than pay lower taxes for fewer services, while 17 percent
of non-Hispanic white Republicans stated that preference.
On social issues, Latino Democrats expressed more
conservative values than their non-Latino white
counterparts. Thirty-four percent of Hispanic Democrats
said they believed that divorce was unacceptable, compared
with 13 percent for non-Hispanic white Democrats. Twelve
percent of Latino Democrats said they thought abortion
should be legal in all cases, compared with 26 percent of
non-Latino white Democrats who expressed the same belief.
"Latinos born outside the United States, as a group, have
particularly more intense and socially conservative views
than those born within the country," said Mollyann Brodie,
vice president and director of public opinion and media
research for the Kaiser Family Foundation
The poll of 1,329 registered Hispanic voters, 838
non-Hispanic whites and 136 non-Hispanic African-Americans
was conducted by telephone from April to June and has a
margin of error of 3.6 percentage points. It is part of a
broader survey of Latinos in the United States that will be
released in December.
Among those interviewed, 45 percent said they were United
States citizens who were registered to vote. Of those,
nearly half called themselves Democrats, one-fifth said
they were Republicans and another fifth labeled themselves
independent.
Democrats, for the most part, have been more aggressive in
reaching out to Hispanic voters.
"Republicans don't have an institutional network to get
Hispanics out to vote," said Rodolfo de la Garza, a
political science professor at Columbia University who
conducted a separate study of Latino voting patterns for
the Tomás Rivera Policy Institute, a research organization
on Hispanic issues.
His analysis, of Harris County, Tex., and Los Angeles from
1992 to 1998, found that despite a spike in the number of
Hispanics registered to vote, their turnout was usually
poor.
But President Bush, who received 35 percent of the Hispanic
vote in Texas, has helped narrow the gap between the two
parties. Though only 27 percent of Latinos in the survey
said they had more confidence in Republicans than Democrats
on economic issues, the numbers changed sharply when
Latinos were asked to choose between Democrats in Congress
and President Bush. Forty-two percent said they had more
confidence in Mr. Bush.
They also demonstrated party ambivalence in other ways.
When asked which of the two major political parties is more
concerned about Hispanics, 45 percent said the Democrats,
but 40 percent said they sensed no difference between the
two sides.
Education was cited as the most important issue by 58
percent of registered Latino voters, and it was especially
important to Latinos who were born outside the United
States. The economy was the next priority, followed by
health care and Medicare.
Immigration was also an important topic. About half of the
Hispanics surveyed said they thought too many immigrants
were living in the United States. But about three-fourths
said the United States should continue allowing the same
number of Latin Americans into the country as it has been,
or should allow more.
About half of Latino voters said they get their news on
television in English. Twenty-seven percent said they watch
English and Spanish news, and 19 percent tune in to Spanish
newscasts most of the time.
Source: The New York Times
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